Theme: Commodities | Indian households and the gold budget: How price hikes are affecting consumption
Description
In this episode of the State of Economy Podcast, businessline's Subramani Ra Mancombu speaks with NS Ramaswamy, Head - Commodity desk & CRM, Ventura Securities offers his insights into gold's performance, noting a 35% return over the past 15 months and forecasting a minor short-term correction before a continued bullish trend.
The podcast highlights how geopolitical tensions and concerns about the global economy have driven precious metals like gold and silver to new highs. Ramaswamy explains that medium to long-term factors, such as a potential economic slowdown and anticipated interest rate cuts, support his optimistic outlook for gold.
The discussion also touches on the impact of rising gold prices on Indian demand, particularly in the jewellery sector, where price hikes are expected to dampen consumer appetite. In contrast, silver has been experiencing gains alongside gold, but Ramaswamy suggests that its performance may be more volatile due to its reliance on industrial demand. He points out that while physical shortages could push silver prices higher, factors like weak manufacturing activity and the global economic slowdown may limit its growth.
Finally, the podcast shifts to copper, which faces a subdued demand outlook due to weakness in China's real estate sector and broader industrial slowdown. Ramaswamy suggests that while supply constraints might support prices, the overall demand in key economies will likely keep copper's growth limited in the near term.
(Host: Subramani Ra Mancombu Producer: Prethicshaa Gurumoorthy)
About the State of the Economy podcast
India’s economy has been hailed as a bright spot amid the general gloom that seems to have enveloped the rest of the world. But several sectors continue to stutter even as others seem set to fire on all cylinders.